# Competition

**URL:** https://forum.crunchdao.com/c/competition/15.md

[Latest](https://forum.crunchdao.com/latest.md) · [Categories](https://forum.crunchdao.com/categories.md) · [Tags](https://forum.crunchdao.com/tags.md)

---

## [About the Competition category](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/about-the-competition-category/434)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@enzo](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/enzo)\
**Replies:** 0\
**Last updated:** [July 25, 2024, 7:29am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/about-the-competition-category/434 "2024-07-25T07:29:53Z")

</div>

This category is an umbrella for other categories.

---

## [ADIA Structural Break run #118062 stuck in Running after termination](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/adia-structural-break-run-118062-stuck-in-running-after-termination/1216)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@hostile-crewcontent](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/hostile-crewcontent)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [September 20, 2026, 7:20pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/adia-structural-break-run-118062-stuck-in-running-after-termination/1216 "2026-09-20T19:20:52Z")

</div>

Hi CrunchDAO team, Competition: Structural Break: Real-Time Edition User: hostile-crewcontent Model: astra-v2 Submission: #1 Run: #118062 Created: September 20, 2026 at 16:24 local time. Run #118062 has remained i…

---

## [Synth deployments die silently ~5 min after start, model now in quarantine (ids 17069, 17076)](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-deployments-die-silently-5-min-after-start-model-now-in-quarantine-ids-17069-17076/1212)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@competitive-philipp](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/competitive-philipp)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [September 12, 2026, 5:06pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-deployments-die-silently-5-min-after-start-model-now-in-quarantine-ids-17069-17076/1212 "2026-09-12T17:06:35Z")

</div>

Hi enzo, since this evening (Sept 9, from about 19:40 CEST) every new Synth deployment of mine fails the same way. Build succeeds, runner starts, finds the class, “Setup successfully complete”, then the log stops and 4-5…

---

## [No runs created for any submission in the current crunch window (structural-break-real-time and datacrunch-2)](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/no-runs-created-for-any-submission-in-the-current-crunch-window-structural-break-real-time-and-datacrunch-2/1213)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@mathematical-denys](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/mathematical-denys)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [September 10, 2026, 9:44am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/no-runs-created-for-any-submission-in-the-current-crunch-window-structural-break-real-time-and-datacrunch-2/1213 "2026-09-10T09:44:16Z")

</div>

Since crunch #18 opened, none of my submissions has produced a run, on either competition I take part in. In the previous window every submission was picked up within minutes. structural-break-real-time, project z1 cr…

---

## [Synth: per-round receipts, metric definition and payout treatment after Runner Off](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-per-round-receipts-metric-definition-and-payout-treatment-after-runner-off/1211)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@homely-dongwook](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/homely-dongwook)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [September 8, 2026, 9:46pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-per-round-receipts-metric-definition-and-payout-treatment-after-runner-off/1211 "2026-09-08T21:46:57Z")

</div>

I am testing a frozen Synth tracker under model theoretical-hamster (model ID 17028, submission 1, deployment 21365). Could you point me to the supported documentation or export for: Per-round request/return/validatio…

---

## [ChatGPT/Codex to write/improve submission code](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/chatgpt-codex-to-write-improve-submission-code/1209)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@doubtful-nic](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/doubtful-nic)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [September 7, 2026, 2:09pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/chatgpt-codex-to-write-improve-submission-code/1209 "2026-09-07T14:09:58Z")

</div>

I’m considering entering DataCrunch Equity Market Neutral #2 as an individual. May I use ChatGPT/Codex to write and improve my submission code, while running that code in my own participant-controlled environment and ke…

---

## [Where does the remaining headroom live? Sharing measured ceilings from a whitening-based approach](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/where-does-the-remaining-headroom-live-sharing-measured-ceilings-from-a-whitening-based-approach/1206)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@weak-van-weyenbergh](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/weak-van-weyenbergh)\
**Replies:** 5\
**Last updated:** [September 4, 2026, 1:26pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/where-does-the-remaining-headroom-live-sharing-measured-ceilings-from-a-whitening-based-approach/1206 "2026-09-04T13:26:02Z")

</div>

Hi all, I’m currently around 0.6263 on the public leaderboard with a whitening-based approach, and I’ve spent the last few weeks measuring ceilings rather than chasing features. I’m sharing the numbers here because they…

---

## [Synth runner is on, but no deployment is being created](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-runner-is-on-but-no-deployment-is-being-created/1203)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@innovative-m](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/innovative-m)\
**Replies:** 3\
**Last updated:** [August 27, 2026, 1:43am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-runner-is-on-but-no-deployment-is-being-created/1203 "2026-08-27T01:43:44Z")

</div>

Hi CrunchDAO team, I’m trying to deploy my first Synth model (innovative-m / synth-alpha). The submission was accepted, but the runner never creates a deployment entry. Here’s what I’m seeing: Model ID: 16705 Submiss…

---

## [Question: Is the full cloud X\_test distribution representative of the reduced test sample?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/question-is-the-full-cloud-x-test-distribution-representative-of-the-reduced-test-sample/1201)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@random-donglin](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/random-donglin)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [August 22, 2026, 2:41pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/question-is-the-full-cloud-x-test-distribution-representative-of-the-reduced-test-sample/1201 "2026-08-22T14:41:45Z")

</div>

I ran into something during a local data audit that I think is worth clarifying with the competition team. In the training data, there is a very small extreme-severity tail: roughly 0.5% of the sequences have extremely …

---

## [All submissions failed this week's OOS scoring — feature schema changed 1150 → 1157 with no advance notice?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/all-submissions-failed-this-weeks-oos-scoring-feature-schema-changed-1150-1157-with-no-advance-notice/1151)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@b-ionut-r](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/b-ionut-r)\
**Replies:** 16\
**Last updated:** [August 19, 2026, 9:24am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/all-submissions-failed-this-weeks-oos-scoring-feature-schema-changed-1150-1157-with-no-advance-notice/1151 "2026-08-19T09:24:48Z")

</div>

Hi team, Every one of my submissions failed this week’s out-of-sample scoring with the same error. After going through the run logs, the cause is a change to the dataset’s feature schema that — as far as I can tell — wa…

---

## [Structural Break Real-Time: no runner is available for this competition](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-no-runner-is-available-for-this-competition/1198)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@gradual-george](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/gradual-george)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [August 17, 2026, 2:19pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-no-runner-is-available-for-this-competition/1198 "2026-08-17T14:19:32Z")

</div>

I started out of the blue to get no runner is available for this competition every time I run crunch test on my local machine. My code has been working for over a week now with no problems. Also I cannot anymore get the …

---

## [Model deployment failure](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/model-deployment-failure/1196)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@kaelira](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/kaelira)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [August 17, 2026, 10:39am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/model-deployment-failure/1196 "2026-08-17T10:39:33Z")

</div>

All models submitted today (Aug 16) for 1h has failed including successfully run previous models. Build is ok. During run it fails with the below message INFO - ModelRunner started and ready to serve on \[::\]:50051 in mo…

---

## [Structural Break Real-Time: may infer use prior completed-series state?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-may-infer-use-prior-completed-series-state/1186)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@radiant-allomancer](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/radiant-allomancer)\
**Replies:** 3\
**Last updated:** [August 13, 2026, 6:15pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-may-infer-use-prior-completed-series-state/1186 "2026-08-13T18:15:34Z")

</div>

For the current Structural Break Real-Time competition, may \`infer()\` maintain a \*\*forward-only summary of series that have already been completely processed\*\* and use that summary when scoring later series? The propose…

---

## [Run continue when quota resets?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/run-continue-when-quota-resets/1193)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@synthium](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/synthium)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [August 12, 2026, 10:44am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/run-continue-when-quota-resets/1193 "2026-08-12T10:44:16Z")

</div>

Ok - say it is 10am. Say quota resets at 12pm that day (2 hours away). My model takes 4 hours to run. I only have 2hrs worth of quota. If i start my run at 10.01pm it should give me enough time for my model to run past…

---

## [Dataset clarification](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/dataset-clarification/1190)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@naval-harry](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/naval-harry)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [August 9, 2026, 2:15pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/dataset-clarification/1190 "2026-08-09T14:15:19Z")

</div>

What is the intended purpose of these datasets? X\_test.reduced.parquet y\_test.reduced.parquet y\_test\_index.reduced.parquet And can we use them to train the model?

---

## [Leaderboard comparability after the June 8 real-time data-access fix — were pre-fix scores rescored?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/leaderboard-comparability-after-the-june-8-real-time-data-access-fix-were-pre-fix-scores-rescored/1188)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@kamer-ali](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/kamer-ali)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [August 8, 2026, 8:11pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/leaderboard-comparability-after-the-june-8-real-time-data-access-fix-were-pre-fix-scores-rescored/1188 "2026-08-08T20:11:53Z")

</div>

Hi CrunchDAO team, I’d like to ask for clarification on how the leaderboard treats submissions evaluated before the real-time data-access issue was fixed on June 8. Background, as I understand it: This challenge’s Rea…

---

## [Clarification on AI coding assistants and Tournament Dataset access](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/clarification-on-ai-coding-assistants-and-tournament-dataset-access/1185)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@urgent-kenny](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/urgent-kenny)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [August 7, 2026, 2:23am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/clarification-on-ai-coding-assistants-and-tournament-dataset-access/1185 "2026-08-07T02:23:59Z")

</div>

Section 5 of the Tournament Rules states that the Tournament Dataset must not be made available to anyone who is not an official participant. Could you please clarify whether a participant may use a remote AI coding ass…

---

## [Numinous: both deployed models stopped receiving events (Running but idle for 4 days)](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/numinous-both-deployed-models-stopped-receiving-events-running-but-idle-for-4-days/1183)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@unpleasant-eduardo](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/unpleasant-eduardo)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [August 3, 2026, 3:54pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/numinous-both-deployed-models-stopped-receiving-events-running-but-idle-for-4-days/1183 "2026-08-03T15:54:35Z")

</div>

Hi — I have two models deployed in Numinous under the user unpleasant-eduardo (naty-condor, model #16257, and naty-quant, model #16258). Both show Runner: Running, but neither has received a single event for over four da…

---

## [Structural Break Real-Time — is any legal online-horizon / length metadata available at serve?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-is-any-legal-online-horizon-length-metadata-available-at-serve/1180)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@ngcferreira](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/ngcferreira)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [July 28, 2026, 7:34pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-is-any-legal-online-horizon-length-metadata-available-at-serve/1180 "2026-07-28T19:34:24Z")

</div>

Hi, For Structural Break Real-Time, x\_online is a streaming generator and I cannot call len(x\_online) (and the W23 fix correctly closed full-series leaks in the cloud). Docs say the online segment is typically between …

---

## [Structural Break Real Time - Submit pretrained model](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-submit-pretrained-model/1178)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@okay-dylan](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/okay-dylan)\
**Replies:** 5\
**Last updated:** [July 27, 2026, 3:26pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-real-time-submit-pretrained-model/1178 "2026-07-27T15:26:00Z")

</div>

I’m trying to submit a pretrained model, but on the Submission page when I set “Should your model be trained? → No”, then the “Create run” button is greyed out and I can’t start the run. Am I missing something here, or …

---

## [Issue with crunch-cli version on colab](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/issue-with-crunch-cli-version-on-colab/1176)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@real-srinivas](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/real-srinivas)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [July 21, 2026, 10:13am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/issue-with-crunch-cli-version-on-colab/1176 "2026-07-21T10:13:59Z")

</div>

06:48:32 detected crunch-cli version 11.10.0, but runner requires version 11.7.0 or higher 06:48:32 upgrade by running \`pip install --upgrade crunch-cli\` and restart your kernel (if you are on Colab/Jupyter). The colab …

---

## [Augmentation permit](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/augmentation-permit/1174)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@hadip](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/hadip)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [July 18, 2026, 11:07pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/augmentation-permit/1174 "2026-07-18T23:07:32Z")

</div>

Hello, is using the 2025 edition’s training data as augmentation permitted?

---

## [Structural Break - Quote Refresh Time](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-quote-refresh-time/1172)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@okay-dylan](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/okay-dylan)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [July 16, 2026, 10:07am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/structural-break-quote-refresh-time/1172 "2026-07-16T10:07:41Z")

</div>

I know the quota refreshes on Wednesdays, but what time (UTC) does this happen?

---

## [Synthetic price data cli](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synthetic-price-data-cli/1168)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@robprofit](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/robprofit)\
**Replies:** 4\
**Last updated:** [June 26, 2026, 8:49am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synthetic-price-data-cli/1168 "2026-06-26T08:49:00Z")

</div>

When I try to upload a submission using the cli I get the message below. However I can upload using the cli in other competitions such as Equity Market Neutral 2. Error response from daemon: No such image: crunchers-mod…

---

## [Numinous deployment #19079 fails with MODEL\_RUNNER\_CONNECTION\_FAILED](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/numinous-deployment-19079-fails-with-model-runner-connection-failed/1166)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@takehaya](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/takehaya)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [June 22, 2026, 9:46am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/numinous-deployment-19079-fails-with-model-runner-connection-failed/1166 "2026-06-22T09:46:25Z")

</div>

Hi CrunchDAO team, I am participating in Numinous: Predictive Agents For Real World Outcome. The notebook submission and deployment were created, but the deployment failed at the runner connection step. Project: Mode…

---

## [Equity Market Neutral #2 Submission using xgboost fails](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/equity-market-neutral-2-submission-using-xgboost-fails/1165)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@robprofit](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/robprofit)\
**Replies:** 3\
**Last updated:** [June 19, 2026, 9:20am UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/equity-market-neutral-2-submission-using-xgboost-fails/1165 "2026-06-19T09:20:02Z")

</div>

When submitting to the Equity Market Neutral #2 competition via CLI the process fails at what looks like the pip install stage. requirements.txt file contains pandas numpy xgboost I think xgboost is the problem.

---

## [Remaining quota is getting finished and I have a ongoing run](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/remaining-quota-is-getting-finished-and-i-have-a-ongoing-run/1029)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@orgkushal](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/orgkushal)\
**Replies:** 3\
**Last updated:** [June 16, 2026, 8:46pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/remaining-quota-is-getting-finished-and-i-have-a-ongoing-run/1029 "2026-06-16T20:46:56Z")

</div>

@enzo My remaining quota is getting utilised and I have an ongoing submission. Please consider providing me more quota.

---

## [Synth deployment fails before deployment row: UpsertModel crunch\_models AccountDidNotSerialize](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-deployment-fails-before-deployment-row-upsertmodel-crunch-models-accountdidnotserialize/1158)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@takehaya](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/takehaya)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [June 13, 2026, 7:36pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/synth-deployment-fails-before-deployment-row-upsertmodel-crunch-models-accountdidnotserialize/1158 "2026-06-13T19:36:49Z")

</div>

I could not find a Synth-specific category, so I am posting this under Falcon because it seems closest to the real-time competition deployment flow. Hi CrunchDAO team, I am participating in Synth: Synthetic Price Data …

---

## [Question about updated data and possible train/test distribution shift](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/question-about-updated-data-and-possible-train-test-distribution-shift/1154)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@mpware](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/mpware)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [June 7, 2026, 6:11pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/question-about-updated-data-and-possible-train-test-distribution-shift/1154 "2026-06-07T18:11:02Z")

</div>

@enzo Following the email we received about the “29 time series with a break at step zero,” I wanted to confirm that the downloadable data in the Resources section has been fully updated accordingly. Could you please c…

---

## [Is training function call included or only the infer function?](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/is-training-function-call-included-or-only-the-infer-function/1152)

<div class="topic-metadata">

**Author:** [@governing-balram](https://forum.crunchdao.com/u/governing-balram)\
**Replies:** 5\
**Last updated:** [June 2, 2026, 5:57pm UTC](https://forum.crunchdao.com/t/is-training-function-call-included-or-only-the-infer-function/1152 "2026-06-02T17:57:38Z")

</div>

Will there be train(..) function call execution or not. In the baseline notebook there is not mention of train function. Will only infer(…) function be used?

[Next page](https://forum.crunchdao.com/c/competition/15.md?page=1)
